GS2 · 15 marks · 250 words

The new cold war between the USA and China may have the effect of casting a long shadow on India's strategic interests from Pacific to Atlantic. Evaluate.

Answered by 5 toppers · CSE 2020–2024

Syllabus: Bilateral, regional and global groupings and agreements involving India and/or affecting India’s interests.

How toppers approached it

From 4 of the 5 answers · about 250 words · 50% drew a diagram.

Opening

  • No separate opening4 of 4

Body

  • Points3 of 4
  • Points and prose1 of 4

Close

  • A way forward2 of 4
  • No separate close1 of 4
  • A summary1 of 4

The toppers’ answers

Srishti DabasAIR 6 · CSE 2023 · 245 wordsTheir whole copy

Opening

The current geopolitical world order is in a state of flux as the centre of gravity has shifted from Europe/Atlantic to 'Indo Pacific'.

Body · points and prose

New Cold war

It is said that world is shifting

Diagram
[Pax Americana] --Δ--> [Pax Sinica] | v [rising Chinese preponderance]

American hegemony is declining

  • exit from Afghanistan
  • unilateral withdrawal of JCPOA
  • exit from Unesco
  • setback by covid

rising Chinese preponderance

  • claims in South China Sea
  • BRI and Maritime Silk Route
  • alternative financing arrangements: AIIB

Chinese presence is rising as → (1) Recently docked secret satellite (balloon) over America. (2) recently held Indian Ocean Region Forum for Development without Indian presence. (3) docked Yuan Wang at Hambantota - danger of surveillance over India.

All these recent developments may cast shadow on India's strategic interests as → (1) rising border skirmishes with China:

Diagram
|-------|-------| Dokhlam Galwan Tawang 2016 2020 2022

(2) Chinese military expenditure is four times that of India. (3) India crossed $100 bn trade deficit with China - hurting forex reserves & dream to become $5 trillion economy.

(4) Chinese revanchist tendencies as a predatory hegemon are driving India's neighbours towards China: - eg Nepal, Bhutan.

(5) It is said - "India promises, China delivers" leading to stalled projects by India in Africa.

(6) Chinese String of Pearls and debt trap diplomacy.

Yet, India is countering the threats → to create Necklace of Diamonds → through supply chain resilience initiative, IPEF, China plus one → Quad and I2U2. → Aatmanirbhar Bharat-

Close

to establish itself as a power pole in the region.

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