Question 1 · 449 words written
Opening · a figure
1- Recent Economic Survey highlighted fiscal deficit of 5.6%, still over FRBM limit of 3% of GDP.
Body · points
Potential consequences
- Virtuous cycle of crowding out
- The poor international ratings. Based on negative international trade position, hampering export potential.
iii) Increased borrowing for repay of old loans causing positive interest rate growth differential.
iv) Problem of dependency like demand for loan waivers or legalize MSP further deterioate receipts potential.
ways to ensure consolidation
- Nandan Nilekani suggested on independent fiscal council to monitor and suggest reforms.
ii) Ensuring strict implementation of FRBM act.
iii) Increase tax buoyancy and coverage by formalization of economy.
iv) Overcoming populist tendency by strict regulation on freebies.
In that manner, we can achieve goal of consolidation as per 15th Finance Commission.
2- With year on year growth of 11% of capital investment, economic survey held it as mean to achieve goal of $7 trillion economy.
Potential of Capital Investment
High multiplier effect. Work bank observed 2.5x outcome.
Promote crowding in effect. Like China's manufacturing model by SEZ's.
Ease of doing business. Logistics improvement for better linkage.
1v) Export competitiveness. By reducing cost through economies of scale for $1 trillion target by 2030.
v) Increased employment opportunity. To reduce unemployment rate of 3.2%.
Challenges faced :-
Poor labour law reforms, depriving of needed foreign investment.
Bureacratic hurdles by regulatory cholestrol, impacting efficiency.
Low focus of inclusive investment as 30% is limited to IT related sector.
1v) The problem of fund shortage to Government due subsidy regime.
v) Problem of poor linkages as World Bank logistic report ranked 38.
Thus increasing scope to Viksit Bharat by 2047.
3- According to Urban Mobility Report, 50% of Indians will move to urban area by 2041, causing huge problem of carrying capacity.
Opportunity with peri-urban agriculture
Providing linkage to rural-urban continuum under PURA Mission.
Improving peri-urban area development with economic-housing cooperation.
Promoting ease of logistics by reducing travel time to urban market.
1v) Overcoming rural based agrarian distress due reduce land productivity.
v) Scope of crop diversification as Ashok Gulahti observed potential for Operation GREEN in the region.
Challenges associated
Problem of gentrification, causing peri-urban area to become real-estate.
The issue of social security, due poor facility of social capital like slums creation in the region.
Problem of market expansion due poor network for export markets.
IV) The prevailing dominance of dominant caste like Bhalla study on peri-urban area in Haryana seen dominance of Jats etc.
Way forward → Linking agriculture to National Mission on Sustainable agriculture. → Promoting extension services for better development. → Social inclusion facilities.
Close · a way forward
Thus resolving crisis of urban sprawl by sustainable solution.